Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.019461 0.021431 0.023409 0.025540 0.027765 0.030016 0.032460
2025-05-25 0.015166 0.018206 0.021383 0.024928 0.028749 0.032724 0.037153
2025-06-01 0.012793 0.016401 0.020285 0.024725 0.029612 0.034787 0.040639
2025-06-08 0.010841 0.014811 0.019206 0.024341 0.030094 0.036274 0.043352
2025-06-15 0.009500 0.013765 0.018605 0.024366 0.030917 0.038038 0.046271
2025-06-22 0.008126 0.012550 0.017705 0.023958 0.031173 0.039103 0.048356
2025-06-29 0.006793 0.011266 0.016631 0.023266 0.031036 0.039668 0.049828
2025-07-06 0.005485 0.009897 0.015362 0.022269 0.030479 0.039705 0.050658
2025-07-13 0.004956 0.009492 0.015238 0.022602 0.031441 0.041442 0.053381
2025-07-20 0.004268 0.008810 0.014722 0.022423 0.031771 0.042432 0.055234
2025-07-27 0.003662 0.008184 0.014237 0.022251 0.032083 0.043379 0.057019
2025-08-03 0.003436 0.008090 0.014431 0.022909 0.033378 0.045459 0.060094
2025-08-10 0.002916 0.007548 0.014063 0.022921 0.033978 0.046830 0.062481
2025-08-17 0.002278 0.006754 0.013324 0.022454 0.034004 0.047548 0.064150
2025-08-24 0.001812 0.006163 0.012818 0.022249 0.034320 0.048582 0.066159
2025-08-31 0.001374 0.005539 0.012218 0.021886 0.034414 0.049333 0.067820
2025-09-07 0.001090 0.005147 0.011925 0.021910 0.034974 0.050628 0.070108
2025-09-14 0.000771 0.004595 0.011350 0.021524 0.034996 0.051258 0.071599
2025-09-21 0.000473 0.003968 0.010606 0.020869 0.034649 0.051422 0.072522
2025-09-28 0.000221 0.003277 0.009688 0.019926 0.033898 0.051068 0.072806
2025-10-05 0.000153 0.003128 0.009662 0.020240 0.034774 0.052704 0.075463
2025-10-12 0.000070 0.002808 0.009312 0.020071 0.035005 0.053537 0.077148
2025-10-19 0.000020 0.002515 0.008979 0.019909 0.035233 0.054356 0.078811